GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/23/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 56.9-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

92.5%

Model confidence

92.5%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Broadmeadow MagicLake Macquarie
81.0Attack30.3
63.5Defence0.0
73.0Form6.1
71.8Power14.9
4.50xG0.54
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