GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/24/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 56.9-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

92.5%

Model confidence

92.5%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWWWLL

GF 19 · GA 10 · avg 3.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicLake Macquarie
81.0Attack30.3
63.5Defence0.0
73.0Form6.1
71.8Power14.9
4.50xG0.54
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