GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/4/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

75.6%

Model confidence

75.6%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWWDWL

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicWDDWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Broadmeadow MagicHamilton Olympic
81.0Attack61.9
63.5Defence39.7
73.0Form33.3
71.8Power44.3
3.51xG1.17
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