GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/7/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 43.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

90.1%

Model confidence

90.1%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWDDLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Broadmeadow MagicCharlestown City Blues
81.0Attack39.7
63.5Defence14.3
73.0Form22.2
71.8Power28.4
4.50xG0.72
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