GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/5/2024, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

84.3%

Model confidence

84.3%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsLWDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Broadmeadow MagicAdamstown Rosebuds
81.0Attack49.2
63.5Defence31.7
73.0Form33.3
71.8Power40.1
4.01xG0.92
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