GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cray Valley PM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broadbridge Heath are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Cray Valley PM are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cray Valley PM hold a 52.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the FA Trophy, while Cray Valley PM holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cray Valley PM

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Cray Valley PM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadbridge HeathD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Cray Valley PMLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Broadbridge HeathCray Valley PM
0.0Attack60.0
33.3Defence60.0
0.0Form80.0
15.3Power67.3
1.27xG1.89
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