GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/6/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broń Radom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broń RadomWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomUnia Skierniewice
38.2Attack76.5
57.8Defence54.9
47.1Form63.7
49.1Power63.6
1.08xG1.87
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