GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/24/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broń Radom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broń Radom are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Broń Radom holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broń Radom

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Broń Radom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broń RadomWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IILLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Broń RadomJagiellonia II
38.2Attack48.0
57.8Defence46.1
47.1Form44.1
49.1Power46.8
1.35xG1.12
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