GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/8/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broń Radom · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Broń Radom are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Broń Radom hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Broń Radom holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broń Radom

Probability

66.6%

Model confidence

66.6%

Broń Radom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broń RadomLDDWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągLLWLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Broń RadomConcordia Elbląg
38.2Attack36.3
57.8Defence3.9
47.1Form29.4
49.1Power24.3
2.26xG0.80
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