GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/29/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broń Radom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broń RadomLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówWLLLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Broń RadomBełchatów
38.2Attack56.9
57.8Defence52.0
47.1Form54.9
49.1Power54.7
1.18xG1.36
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