GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/11/2023, 5:26:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broń Radom are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broń RadomDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 0/3
BełchatówWLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.33/2.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Broń RadomBełchatów
38.2Attack56.9
57.8Defence52.0
47.1Form54.9
49.1Power54.7
1.18xG1.36
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