Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brønshøj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 4-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brønshøj 4-1 Ringsted
Original prediction
Brønshøj
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.8% | 83.7% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.1% | 10.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 6.88 | 13.1% | 6.2% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.4–19%
Predicted outcome
Brønshøj
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Brønshøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrønshøjWDDWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
RingstedLDLLL
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BrønshøjRingsted
66.7Attack45.5
63.6Defence6.1
66.7Form15.2
65.8Power25.7
4.04xG0.81