Brønshøjvs
ASA Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brønshøj · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brønshøj 5-1 ASA Aarhus
Original prediction
Brønshøj
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.2% | 44.2% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 26.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.4% | 29.1% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Brønshøj
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Brønshøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60