Briton Ferryvs
GAP Connah S Quay FC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Briton Ferry 0-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Briton Ferry 1-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
Original prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.38 | 16.7% | 11.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.6% | 17.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.7% | 70.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
Briton Ferry 0–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60