Briton Ferryvs
Barry Town
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Briton Ferry 1-4 Barry Town
Original prediction
Barry Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.9% | 24.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 24.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.8% | 50.5% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Barry Town
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20