Briton Ferryvs
Airbus UK
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Airbus UK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Briton Ferry 0-2 Airbus UK
Original prediction
Airbus UK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 32.0% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 25.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.3% | 42.4% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Airbus UK
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Airbus UK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80