GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/26/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Rovers

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21LLLDL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bristol RoversTottenham Hotspur U21
58.3Attack77.8
50.0Defence22.2
50.0Form33.3
53.2Power41.2
2.29xG1.70
View match centre →