Bristol Roversvs
Plymouth
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bristol Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Plymouth are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plymouth
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40