Bristol Roversvs
Plymouth
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bristol Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Plymouth are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plymouth
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00