GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Exeter City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 17.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Rovers

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Exeter CityLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Bristol RoversExeter City
58.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form33.3
53.2Power17.9
2.51xG1.23
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