Bristol Roversvs
Exeter City
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bristol Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Exeter City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 17.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bristol Rovers
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80