GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cheltenham are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 11.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Rovers

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CheltenhamLLDLL

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Bristol RoversCheltenham
58.3Attack11.1
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.2Power11.1
2.61xG1.18
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