Bristol Roversvs
Cheltenham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bristol Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cheltenham are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 11.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bristol Rovers
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40