GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bristol Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cambridge United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bristol Rovers

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bristol RoversLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cambridge UnitedWWDDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Bristol RoversCambridge United
58.3Attack55.6
50.0Defence44.4
50.0Form33.3
53.2Power44.0
2.02xG1.52
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