Bristol City Wvs
Southampton W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City W 1-1 Southampton W
Original prediction
Bristol City W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.1% | 45.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.6% | 26.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City W
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Bristol City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20