Bristol City Wvs
Southampton W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City W 2-1 Southampton W
Original prediction
Bristol City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.4% | 36.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 29.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 34.4% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Bristol City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00