Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 29 July 202619:30Updated today
Bristol City

Bristol City

Home
L
vs
19:30
Newcastle

Newcastle

Away
L
Ashton Gate Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Newcastle33%
Bristol City33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Bristol City
33%
Draw
33%
Newcastle
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bristol City
9
Newcastle
9
Defence
Bristol City
27
Newcastle
27
Momentum
Bristol City
0
Newcastle
0
Danger (xG)
Bristol City
0.00
Newcastle
0.31
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bristol City)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Newcastle)
0.31
avg per match
xG against (Bristol City)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Newcastle)
1.81
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bristol CityBristol City
L
NewcastleNewcastle
LW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bristol City33%
Draw33%
Newcastle33%

Newcastle leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bristol City head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture at Ashton Gate Stadium in mixed form (L), while Newcastle arrive in mixed form (L). Bristol City have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Newcastle over 1 games.

The model rates Bristol City's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Newcastle defence, and Newcastle's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Bristol City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Bristol City have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Newcastle have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Newcastle have generated 0.31 xG per game recently while conceding 1.81 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Bristol City and Newcastle in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Bristol City 3333%, Draw 3333%, Newcastle 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Bristol City

Bristol City

L
@ Stockport County
17 Jul 2026
02
Newcastle

Newcastle

L
@ Fulham
24 May 2026
02
xG 0.3
W
vs West Ham
17 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bristol City vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Newcastle?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bristol City vs Newcastle?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more