Bristol City U21vs
Sheffield United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City U21 3-1 Sheffield United U21
Original prediction
Sheffield United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.9% | 13.0% | -18.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 12.7% | -10.4 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.0% | 74.3% | 29.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
29.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–48%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield United U21
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
Sheffield United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60