Bristol City U21vs
Millwall U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City U21 1-3 Millwall U21
Original prediction
Bristol City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 55.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.38 | 20.7% | 22.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.6% | 22.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City U21
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Bristol City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80