Bristol City U21vs
Hull City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City U21 4-1 Hull City U21
Original prediction
Bristol City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.9% | 52.7% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.7% | 22.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.42 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City U21
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Bristol City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60