Bristol City U21vs
Charlton Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bristol City U21 4-1 Charlton Athletic U21
Original prediction
Bristol City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 43.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 26.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.2% | 30.3% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City U21
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Bristol City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00