Brisbane Strikersvs
Broadbeach United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 8/28/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brisbane Strikers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brisbane Strikers 1-0 Broadbeach United
Original prediction
Brisbane Strikers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.9% | 45.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 23.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.9% | 31.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Brisbane Strikers
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Brisbane Strikers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00