Brisbane Roarvs
Perth Glory
COMPLETEDAustralia · A-League · 10/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brisbane Roar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Original prediction
Brisbane Roar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.5% | 27.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 30.5% | 29.8% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brisbane Roar
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Brisbane Roar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40