GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/15/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Brisbane Roar II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

86.0%

Model confidence

86.0%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brisbane Roar IILLLWL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LionsWLWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Brisbane Roar IILions
48.5Attack86.4
21.2Defence66.7
24.2Form80.3
33.1Power77.2
0.94xG4.33
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