Brisbane CityvsMoreton City Excelsior

Brisbane City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.