GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brisbane City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Brisbane City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Magic United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Brisbane City hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Queensland NPL, while Brisbane City holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brisbane City

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

Brisbane City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brisbane CityDDLLW

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Magic UnitedLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Brisbane CityMagic United
71.2Attack50.0
27.3Defence10.6
51.5Form33.3
51.1Power33.3
4.28xG1.94
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