GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Brisbane City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brisbane CityWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LionsWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brisbane CityLions
71.2Attack86.4
27.3Defence66.7
51.5Form80.3
51.1Power77.2
1.45xG3.79
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