GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Brisbane City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brisbane CityLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Gold Coast KnightsWDLLW

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Brisbane CityGold Coast Knights
71.2Attack69.7
27.3Defence51.5
51.5Form57.6
51.1Power58.9
2.23xG2.90
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