Brinje-Grosupljevs
Nafta
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 9/11/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brinje-Grosuplje · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Nafta
Original prediction
Brinje-Grosuplje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.0% | 48.6% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.9% | 26.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.1% | 25.2% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Brinje-Grosuplje
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Brinje-Grosuplje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80