Brinje-Grosupljevs
Maribor
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 10/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Maribor
Original prediction
Maribor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 19.7% | 33.8% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 27.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.7% | 38.8% | -16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20