Brinje-Grosupljevs
Celje
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brinje-Grosuplje 4-1 Celje
Original prediction
Celje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.9% | 24.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.2% | 26.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.9% | 49.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Celje
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Celje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Brinje-GrosupljeLLDLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CeljeLDWWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Brinje-GrosupljeCelje
50.0Attack69.4
50.0Defence68.5
50.0Form73.1
50.0Power70.6
0.90xG1.90