Brighton Wvs
West Ham W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/24/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton W 3-0 West Ham W
Original prediction
Brighton W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.5% | 54.2% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.7% | 23.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.63 | 13.8% | 22.6% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Brighton W
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Brighton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60