Brighton Wvs
Tottenham Hotspur W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton W 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur W
Original prediction
Brighton W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.1% | 45.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.0% | 25.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 34.9% | 28.9% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brighton W
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Brighton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40