GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/15/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Brighton W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur W hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the FA WSL, while Tottenham Hotspur W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur W

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brighton WLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Tottenham Hotspur WWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Brighton WTottenham Hotspur W
39.4Attack47.0
27.3Defence45.5
28.8Form47.0
34.2Power47.8
1.34xG1.97
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