Brighton Wvs
Charlton Athletic W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton W 4-0 Charlton Athletic W
Original prediction
Brighton W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.2% | 59.4% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.30 | 16.8% | 21.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 8.91 | 10.0% | 19.0% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Brighton W
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Brighton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20