Brighton Wvs
Arsenal W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton W 0-1 Arsenal W
Original prediction
Arsenal W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.89 | 11.6% | 5.8% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.04 | 18.2% | 10.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 70.1% | 83.5% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–411%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal W
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
83.5%
Arsenal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Brighton WLDDWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal WWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brighton WArsenal W
39.4Attack80.3
27.3Defence69.7
28.8Form75.8
34.2Power74.0
0.69xG3.62