Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton 1-0 Bologna
Original prediction
Brighton
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Brighton
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
9.1%
Brighton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrightonWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
BolognaLWWDL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrightonBologna
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence55.6
80.0Form55.6
79.9Power66.4
2.46xG1.48