Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Brighton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AS Roma are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.0 against 61.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20