Brightonvs
AEK Athens FC
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Brighton are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AEK Athens FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Brighton holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brighton
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Brighton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40