Brighton U21vs
Reading
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/9/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Brighton U21 are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Reading are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.75/0.50
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40