Brighton U21vs
Paris Saint-Germain U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Premier League International Cup · 9/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton U21 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain U21
Original prediction
Brighton U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.2% | 42.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.7% | 23.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.1% | 34.2% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40