Brighton U21vs
Leicester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton U21 3-0 Leicester City U21
Original prediction
Brighton U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.1% | 53.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 18.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.6% | 28.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80